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Old November 11, 2016, 19:08   #11
Pete Mack
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A 1/2 chance is better than a 1/3 chance. Monty Hall says: Yes!
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Old November 11, 2016, 19:12   #12
fizzix
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Originally Posted by Pete Mack View Post
A 1/2 chance is better than a 1/3 chance. Monty Hall says: Yes!
What if I want the kobold?
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Old November 11, 2016, 19:16   #13
Estie
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What if I want the kobold?
So you are into THAT sort of thing....
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Old November 11, 2016, 20:00   #14
PowerDiver
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Originally Posted by Pete Mack View Post
A 1/2 chance is better than a 1/3 chance. Monty Hall says: Yes!
I hope you are joking ...

The only time I've ever seen 1/2 come into this problem using probability correctly was once when I posed it to my dad, who figured I was trying to trick him, and his answer was to "flip a coin to decide whether to switch".

One year when I was a TA, I gave a section once a week in a room that was obviously teaching junior level probability the hour before, given the leftovers on the blackboard. They were always long gone before I got there, until one day, as I approached from far away, I saw the TA sitting at the desk, with his head in his hands, surrounded by half a dozen students yelling at him. From 50 feet away I knew what topic he had just covered. He was so happy when I arrived to kick him out.
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Old November 11, 2016, 20:11   #15
Nick
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Originally Posted by fizzix View Post
What if I want the kobold?
Always wondered who the guy in the beret was...
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Old November 11, 2016, 21:34   #16
HallucinationMushroom
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If he's the guy in the beret, then I'M THE KOBOLLLLLLD.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aLNw...EX_zPv&index=7
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Old November 12, 2016, 16:09   #17
Ingwe Ingweron
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Pete Mack View Post
A 1/2 chance is better than a 1/3 chance. Monty Hall says: Yes!
Always account for variable change. 66-2/3% chance, and thank you Monty for the extra 33-1/3%. But, this assumes the host knows which door, chest, whatever, has what and only opens a "kobold" door before offering the chance to change.
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